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Timely insights from our team
Commentaries
Concise overviews on a variety of economic and market events that affect all investors
As a novice investor, it’s hard not to worry about sudden swings in the market tied to a roller coaster of current events. But in reality, there will always be major events, and when we look at their impact on returns we see that historically most events don’t have a long-term impact on market performance. The worst returns in the stock market happen during recessions and the worst returns in the bond market happen during unexpected higher inflation. Our Market History Report shows you a year-by-year view of the investment performance of stocks, bonds, and cash and corresponding major events since 1928.
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Additional Commentaries
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Roundtrip for the Market?
06-03-2020
Unemployment is at unprecedented levels but the stock market keeps rising. What is the market expecting that we aren’t seeing?
Why is the stock market up when the economy is in recession?
04-27-2020
Stock prices reflect what is expected in the future, not necessarily what is happening now. The economy will open again and people will get back to work.
150 Years in 5 Charts
03-19-2020
The ingenuity and resilience of humans is amazing. And by extension, the creativity and adaptability of businesses and the economy is a reflection of that.
Uncertainty and Panic
03-13-2020
The stock market has exceeded our previous forecast for the downside. It is pricing in a recession, or worse. When emotions run high, it helps to fall back on the numbers.
Where is the bottom?
02-26-2020
Is the market overreacting to the threat? What happens if it’s worse than we think?
Outlook for Stocks in 2020
01-20-2020
When 2019 started, the markets had just swooned with the fear of recession. Expectations were low and companies were pessimistic. What a difference a year makes.